Thursday, May 24, 2007
The way I see it finds a New Home
"The way I see it" has moved to another Blogging Platform.
Find me at My New BLOG.
This is my second move. This new Blog is still a "work in progress" in terms of design, colors etc. Content is complete though. This blog and my wordpress blog will remain as they are.
My new RSS FEED. (http://www.thetobril.com/feed/)
OR, you could use the old Feed Burner Feeds and chicklets on the left sidebar.
Sunday, August 06, 2006
Thursday, August 03, 2006
So I’ve been using cabs for sometime…
For one thing, over this past working week, and on the ride home in a taxi cab everyday, I’ve always come across this old woman, the same old woman, at various points of the route home and she always extends her hand to stop the cab driver and as we drive past I always manage to hear her say: El sayeda!
(CONTINUED)
If they like your idea… you’re definitely “enlightended”.
So while doing my thing, surfing the Internet today, I came across this title to a blog post that I had subscribed to: “Egyptian Blogger Asks the Real Questions“.
I thought to myself: cool.
Clicked on the title, was taken to the blog’s address, started reading the story and discovered that the Egyptian blogger in question was Sandmonkey, and no other!
*Sigh*
Sunday, July 30, 2006
It's not exactly a problem of Dirty Laundry
I haven't commented at all on the current situation in the Middle East; the Israeli "invasion" of Gaza or Southern Lebanon. It's because I feel that I don't have anything new or original to add to the discussion. That and the fact that I try not to use my blog as a medium where I criticize other bloggers' views.
I did find a debate, or discussion if you will, which I feel strongly enough towards that the urge to write something would not dissipate however much I willed it to. I am, of course, talking about the criticism of Hezbollah, by Arabs, in the past three weeks or so.
First of all, let me (for the umpteenth time) clearly say that I am staunchly anti-islamist when it comes to politics. Basically the day will not come that I would support an Islamic government over a secular one... no matter what.
Having said I wish to make it clear that I am 100% behind Hezbollah in the current endeavour. This stems from many reasons, of which I will list the most important to me:
Wednesday, July 05, 2006
How Personal is Personal?
Recently had a little chat about blogging with a better-known Blogger who resides in Egypt. I initiated the conversation by asking: how do you know what to post on your blog?
We discussed this for a bit and I complained that I did not want this blog to be a personal blog. He asked me why I didn’t and I responded by saying that there were too many people who might read this blog and read things I just didn’t want them to read.
Friday, June 30, 2006
Do you want me to work for you or not?
(CONTINUED)
Sunday, June 18, 2006
To say that Egyptians are tolerant...
...is the same as saying that arctic temperatures average out to 45 Celcius annually; completely bogus and ridiculous.
An hour or so ago, I was engaged in a conversation with a friend about various topics of interest in Egypt and the world. We were thinking of doing some research, for our own purposes, about minorities in Egypt (ethnic and religious); Armenians, Gypsies, Coptic Christians and Baha'is etc.
Friday, May 26, 2006
Egyptian Police Sexually Abuses Pro-Democracy Detainees
Ahmed El-Sharqawi and Karim El Sha'er, two recently released activists with Youth for Change, have been abducted and detained from Abdel Khaleq Tharwat Street in downtown Cairo by plain clothes security agents.
(Story Continued HERE)
Thursday, May 25, 2006
Pictures - 25th May.
My full post at my new blog.
Central Security conscripts (without batons and shields)Wednesday, May 24, 2006
Celebration and Dismay - This Week's Egypt.
First of all comes the sentencing and jailing of 10 officials that the courts found guilty of negligence in last year's Bani Suief's theatre fire that took the lives of 46 people, many of whom were prominent and active playwrights, writers, actors and artists. More on the issue from The Daily Star - Egypt.
Secondly, my friend Ahmed El Droubi's detention has been extended by State Security Prosecutors for another 15 days. He was also able to smuggle a letter to his friends through which he infomed them of how he feels about the whole affair. More on the detention here and the full text of the letter here. There have been rumours circulating, since yesterday afternoon, that Ahmed is due to be released today or, if not today, then within the next two days. This news is unconfirmed though.
Free Droubi T-Shirts have also been made available.
More about Ahmed El Droubi and the issue in general, but specifically at AUC, here.
Thirdly, students, faculty, alumini and employees of the American University in Cairo have declared their solidarity with the Egyptian Judges and plan a teach and stand-in tomorrow to this effect. They have also released a statement declaring their solidarity with the Egyptian Judges.
Fourthly, the World Economic Forum has come to Egypt. I have mixed feelings about the issue but, in all honesty, I haven't been following it closely enough to render an educated opinion. What was found interesting by other bloggers though was Mubarak's apparently harsh not-very-friendly-towards-Americans Inaugural Speech. Here is the Egyptian Obersever's view on the matter.
Fifthly, the Egyptian stock market seems to be going haywire. More on that here and *gasp* at the sandmonkey's.
Sixthly, our beloved President's son visited the US of A. I wonder why? Thoughts on the matter on the Arabist's Blog and The Daily Star Reporting and Analysis.
That's about it for my news compilation. There are, of course, many other things that were of importance (some personal, some not): Judges Mekki and Derbala giving a two-hour talk at AUC with an overview of the situation, its history and their opinions of events along with possible future scenarios. Also, the release of some of the detainees that were incarcerated because of the recent boughts of clashes between protestors and the government... and many more.
Due to personal reasons, I will probably be posting with a much lower frequency for the coming two weeks or so.
But! That's the way I see it.
Thursday, May 18, 2006
The Egyptian Judiciary and Ayman Nour
No news about if any sentence or decision concerning Judge Bastawisi has been passed by the "Disciplinary Council", as of yet. Judge Bastawisi's trial has been postponed (possibly because he is now in Intensive Care as he suffered a massive heart attack Wednesday Morning and was obviously not present at the hearing).
According to Al-Masry El-Yoam newspaper and other news sources (before the events of today), the hearing was supposed to be delayed since Judge Bastawisi was not going to be present. They also said that Judge Makki was not going to attend the hearing today. It is unconfirmed at the moment whether Judge Makki attended the hearing today.
Note: All names placed within quotation marks " " are either unconfirmed English translations or Arabic titles/names for which a translation is not available. Also, unless mentioned otherwise, news source here is Al Jazeera TV News Channel.
Update: This just in. The Court of Cassation, Egypt's highest criminal court, has just confirmed the ruling finding Ayman Nour guilty and his sentence of Five years in jail for the charge of falsifying documents used to establish a political party (by rejecting his appeal).
Update #2: Four Hundred members of Kifaya and Muslim brotherhood arrested today including top Muslim Brotherhood figure Essam El Erian and Mohammed Morsi.
Update #3: According to a Daily Star reporter the "Disciplinary Council" has issued a 'final warning' to Judge Bastawisi; one more infraction and action will be taken. It appears that he has been found innocent as well and was severely reprimanded by the court. (The information was obtained directly from the reporter. The story is definitely not on the website or even in print when this update was posted).
Update #4: Judge Makki, on a televised phone interview, says that Judge Bastawisi has the right to continue the fight and that he will be part of his defense team. He also said that there are three cases in front of different courts and appellates contesting different decisions that led to their trial in front of the "Disciplinary council" and including the Justice Minister's decision to form this "Disciplinary Council" in the first place. From his choice of words, I couldn't verify whether Judge Bastawisi's case has been postponed or whether he was declared innocent with a warning (as I've been hearing and reading both).
He did say that the Council condemned Judge Bastwisi's actions "...Idanat Hisham Al Bastawisi"
Note: Please excuse the different facts being reported; as I get the information from different sources, the exact nature changes depending on whether I hear it from reporters, judges, professors or people who were there at the demonstrations.
Wednesday, May 17, 2006
Yikes! Social Liberals Vs. Capitalists?
Alright then, let's go!
Now, Sandmonkey responded to my post by saying:
Well, Faisal, let me ignore your mindboggeling comparison of those who die on the hands of terrorists and those who die from poverty for a minute, because You said you don't want a blog-bashing post and I believe you. This will be a discussion of the issue at hand and the mode of thinking. Ok? But first of all, let me correct you on 2 things: The Oil companies in Bolivia aren't US or from other developed countries, and this wasn't done for the "benefit of the people".Hold on a second! I made that comparison for a reason... ignoring my comparison is like saying: "we'll just imagine you didn't say this". But... but... I did! I said it!
I will, of course, continue to look at the rest of the arguments that were made, but we can't just forget about the comparison. No way. I will bring this up again as I go through the post. I also want to say I'm glad that you didn't take it as a blog-bashing contest. That would have been useless and such an intellectual turn-off!
Now, you said you wanted to make two corrections. Let's take the first; that the oil companies in Bolivia are not from the US or other developed countries. This is factually incorrect. I actually quoted an Exxon Mobil spokesperson in my first post. But, more information about the "nationalities" of these companies here, here, here and here. Brazil's PetroBras has the highest share and then come the three European companies (or joint venture in one case) and Exxon Mobil. That's three major operators from developed countries.
As for the "benefit of the people" argument, I guess my whole post will go through that.
Sandmonkey also said that "Brazil isn't exactly what someone would call a rich or developed country. And do you know how much the bolivian government stole, sorry, i meant nationalized from them? 1.6 Billion dollars worth of investment . That's money the brazilian people will never see ever again. Is that, in your opinion, right?"
This is a bit tricky to answer, I must admit. On one hand, and straight off, I would have to say Hell No! Of course, it isn't right. $1.6b is quite a large amount of money, especially for countries like Brazil and Bolivia.
But, again as I mentioned in my original post, Morales clearly stated that the contracts would have to be re-negotiated within six months or the companies would be nationalized. I'm guessing what he is doing, at this point in time, is ensuring that no foul-play (as far as he is concerned) or some form of sabotage takes place. Whether I support his decision or not, it would be reasonable to suppose that these companies might decide to take action that Morales would not want; dismantling equipment beyond the abilities of the Bolivians to put back together, shipping equipment and other forms of capital out in secret etc.
Keep in mind that the statements in the previous paragraph refer to matters from Morales' point of view... regardless of whether I (or anyone else) agrees with his decisions.
Now, this re-negotiation (assuming it occurs and matters do not deteriorate drastically - which I do not believe will occur with the way both the Brazilian President and Morales have been handling the situation after the announcement) will probably end up changing the current contracts in such a manner as to benefit the Bolivians (through their government and respective agencies and institutions) more.
Oops. Noticed I didn't answer the $1.6b question. Open a notepad file or something next to your browser so that you don't forget, I will be getting to this question in the next part of my post, but I will say this: If there is proof that a certain party was complicit in any action or whatever that involved depriving another party of their economic rights and thus their right to live a dignified life where their needs are satisfied (because of work they do, of course) then I support nationalization 110%. (Please keep in mind that I am not, at this point, claiming that the companies, related to this specific topic, were in fact party to any such behavior. I was merely declaring my view on this matter).
Moving on. I need to make sure that something is clear; Morales, during his campaigning had always mentioned that the nationalization of energy/hydro-carbon industries was a main and important point on his political agenda. The people voted for him based on this agenda. In fact, that vote had one of the highest voter turnouts in Bolivian democratic history. Morales won a clear and comfortable victory. Conclusion: A large portion of Bolivians wanted this. The Majority wanted this. Morales, as a man/human being/living entity or whatever, is merely a representative of this group of people. He didn't seize power through force or through illegal practices.
Sandmonkey then said:
Second of all, does it strike you as odd at all that the moment they seized the companies, it was venezeulan technicians who went in and ran the sites ? Does it not seems suspicious at all, that the bolivian candidate that was supported by Chavez all the way , suddenly nationalizes the industry and hand it over to the technicians of his "ally"?As about the Venezuelan technicians part, I honestly see no relevance to the topic at hand; if that post was in fact a response to my post, then it's the nationalization and its disadvantages/advantages to Bolivia and its people that was under discussion. Excuse me if I think that the attempt to tie Morales to Chavez is an attempt at sensationalization by linking Morales to someone who is not quite liked by many countries in the west.
Either way, let's say it wasn't an attempt to sensationalize and it's relevant and all that. Well, I hate to say this... but most of the sources I've attempted to check online mentioned nothing about Venezuelan technicians taking over these facilities. It might be that I missed that fact while browsing through, literally, at least 90-something news and opinion pieces on the matter.
Either way again, if he enlisted the help of another country's technicians because his couldn't manage on his own, I honestly see no problem with this. As about Chavez... well of course he'd support Morales. Their "economic reform/policies" agaendas seem to have found a common point, an intersection if you will, where they both see eye-to-eye. I'd support him i I were Chavez: LOOK! LOOK! I'm not alone! Third world countries tend to do that.
Interestingly enough, when I followed one of the Sandmonkey's links I found this (it was the last paragraph of the article):
Under Monday's decree, foreign companies must sell a majority stake of their participation to YPFB. Yet it remains unclear how Bolivia will come up with the several billion dollars needed for that deal.Pssst! There's the bit about compensation. It isn't exactly hardcore, confiscate-nationalization if you're buying the shares/stake, is it? (The YPFB is Bolivia's state-owned natural gas company).
Aaaah! Now we get to the meat of the matter; the war of ideologies. I've noticed that many of the comments on Sandmonkey's post are screaming against socialism. Well, I'm not going to defend socialism because, in all honesty, Im not rooting for socialism. What I'm going for are certain ideas that I believe can be integrated into any system; the fact that they bear close resemblance to socialism is... well, it is what it is. I have no explanation for it.
When sandmonkey says
Do you know what Morales now wants? He demands that any company that comes in to get only 18% of the profits, and give the other 82% to the Bolivian government. And they are wondering why the hell no one has stepped up to take them on that offer yet. Man, I work in the Oil and Gas sector, and let me tell you, that kind of profit margin is beyond unacceptable. The return on the investment would take forever to actualize itself, and let's face it, any government that sees it well in its right to nationalize your investment whenever they see fit, is a government that you can not trust with your investments. So yeah, sure, they did take over the facilities, but no one who actually knows how to run the business will touch it with a 10 foot pole. Morales, if he really wanted to help his people and raise their income level, has fucked up big time. Bolivia doesn't have much oil to begin with, so the return is not even close to the risk.
... all I can say is:
1. Don't you think that the number, 82%, is a bit of a strange number? I did. First thing that came to mind was: Why on earth did this guy not say 80 or 85? I mean come on, I sincerely doubt that they went to great pains calculating some sort of cost-benefit analysis and came to the conclusion that with the 82/18 combination they will get the right number of investors. First thing I did was check things out and, then I found this. Now, I can begin to understand the number:
The state assumed the majority control (51% of the actions) of all the oil-producing companies in the country and two refineries of the Petrobrás (brazilian state company); decreed an increase of the gas tax of 50% for 82% and gave a period of time of 180 days for the companies accept the measures, otherwise they will have to leave the country... Formerly, in the beginning of the privatization process, the companies stayed with 82% of the invoicing and the state with 18% left. In that time, the executives of the company Repsol YPF (Spain and Argentina) celebrated the fact that, for each dollar they put in Bolivia, the company got 10 dollars of profit.
So basically, the situation was reveresed when the companies were privatized. Hell, it isn't even fully reveresed because befor privatization, the state owned 100% of all assets. Even more, I came across this article. This is the bit which caught my attention:
Although Mr. Morales said on Thursday that no compensation would be paid because there was no confiscation of energy companies' assets, Bolivian officials have said that if the new contract talks fail, expropriations are possible, and in that case, restitution would be made.






